tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Las Vegas via Seattle: arrives on time 84%

  1. 15:15 MSP → 17:00 SEA
    DL 877 · Delta · 3h 45m · 75% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:15 SEA → 22:55 LAS
    AS 704 · Alaska · 2h 40m · 89% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip9h 40mMSP 15:15 to LAS 22:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.