tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Dallas-Fort Worth via Seattle: arrives on time 49%

  1. 15:15 MSP → 17:00 SEA
    DL 877 · Delta · 3h 45m · 75% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:55 SEA → 23:59 DFW
    DL 870 · Delta · 4h 04m · 73% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 44mMSP 15:15 to DFW 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.