tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Spokane via Seattle: arrives on time 62%

  1. 15:15 MSP → 17:00 SEA
    DL 877 · Delta · 3h 45m · 75% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 SEA → 19:17 GEG
    DL 3832 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 18m · 86% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Spokane is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 02mMSP 15:15 to GEG 19:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.