tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → San Jose via Seattle: arrives on time 52%

  1. 15:15 MSP → 17:00 SEA
    DL 877 · Delta · 3h 45m · 75% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 SEA → 20:12 SJC
    DL 4100 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 22m · 87% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 57mMSP 15:15 to SJC 20:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.