tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 89%

  1. 15:15 MSP → 17:00 SEA
    DL 877 · Delta · 3h 45m · 75% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 SEA → 22:28 SMF
    DL 4131 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 03m · 91% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip9h 13mMSP 15:15 to SMF 22:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.