tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Houston via Atlanta: arrives on time 87%

  1. 22:00 SMF → 05:32 ATL
    DL 878 · Delta · 4h 32m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:20 ATL → 09:28 HOU +1 day
    DL 1509 · Delta · 2h 04m · 90% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 24mSMF 22:00 to HOU 09:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.