tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 82%

  1. 22:00 SMF → 05:32 ATL
    DL 878 · Delta · 4h 32m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:12 ATL → 10:29 EWR +1 day
    DL 2397 · Delta · 2h 17m · 87% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip9h 29mSMF 22:00 to EWR 10:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.