tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 89%

  1. 22:00 SMF → 05:32 ATL
    DL 878 · Delta · 4h 32m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 12m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:44 ATL → 10:00 JFK +1 day
    DL 2420 · Delta · 2h 16m · 90% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 87 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 12m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 00mSMF 22:00 to JFK 10:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.