tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 86%

  1. 22:00 LAS → 05:00 ATL
    DL 879 · Delta · 4h 00m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:35 ATL → 08:54 SDF +1 day
    DL 1523 · Delta · 1h 19m · 94% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip7h 54mLAS 22:00 to SDF 08:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.