tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Honolulu via Los Angeles: arrives on time 61%

  1. 15:50 DTW → 17:39 LAX
    DL 883 · Delta · 4h 49m · 78% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:35 LAX → 21:14 HNL
    DL 443 · Delta · 5h 39m · 84% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 11h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 6 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip11h 24mDTW 15:50 to HNL 21:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.