tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Burbank via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 61%

  1. 16:29 JFK → 20:00 SLC
    DL 887 · Delta · 5h 31m · 80% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 SLC → 21:50 BUR
    DL 339 · Delta · 2h 00m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 21mJFK 16:29 to BUR 21:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.