tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 87%

  1. 11:10 MSP → 12:58 SEA
    DL 889 · Delta · 3h 48m · 87% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 4h 02m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 SEA → 19:01 SMF
    DL 4043 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 01m · 89% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 197 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 02m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip9h 51mMSP 11:10 to SMF 19:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.