tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Billings via Seattle: arrives on time 80%

  1. 11:10 MSP → 12:58 SEA
    DL 889 · Delta · 3h 48m · 87% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:49 SEA → 18:42 BIL
    AS 2353 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 53m · 83% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Billings is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 32mMSP 11:10 to BIL 18:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.