tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Sacramento via Los Angeles: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:25 BNA → 08:46 LAX
    DL 891 · Delta · 4h 21m · 92% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 19m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:05 LAX → 13:32 SMF
    DL 3812 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 28m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 154 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 19m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip9h 08mBNA 06:25 to SMF 13:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.