tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Newark via Detroit: arrives on time 51%

  1. 17:02 MSY → 20:34 DTW
    DL 894 · Delta · 2h 32m · 72% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 DTW → 23:29 EWR
    DL 2609 · Delta · 1h 49m · 71% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 27mMSY 17:02 to EWR 23:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.