tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Dulles via Detroit: arrives on time 48%

  1. 17:02 MSY → 20:34 DTW
    DL 894 · Delta · 2h 32m · 72% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:38 DTW → 23:14 IAD
    DL 3988 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 12mMSY 17:02 to IAD 23:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.