tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Raleigh/Durham via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 07:15 PHX → 13:52 ATL
    DL 901 · Delta · 3h 37m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:45 ATL → 16:14 RDU
    DL 1550 · Delta · 1h 29m · 85% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 59mPHX 07:15 to RDU 16:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.