tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Des Moines via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:15 PHX → 13:52 ATL
    DL 901 · Delta · 3h 37m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:37 ATL → 17:52 DSM
    DL 2086 · Delta · 2h 10m · 82% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 32mPHX 07:15 to DSM 17:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.