tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 07:15 PHX → 13:52 ATL
    DL 901 · Delta · 3h 37m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:14 ATL → 18:05 XNA
    DL 2771 · Delta · 1h 51m · 60% on time, 5.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 157 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (5.4% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip8h 50mPHX 07:15 to XNA 18:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.