tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:15 PHX → 13:52 ATL
    DL 901 · Delta · 3h 37m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 4h 07m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ATL → 19:24 SDF
    DL 2831 · Delta · 1h 25m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 202 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 07m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip9h 09mPHX 07:15 to SDF 19:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.