tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 64%

  1. 12:18 SMF → 20:02 ATL
    DL 904 · Delta · 4h 44m · 91% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:25 ATL → 23:52 MCO
    DL 1162 · Delta · 1h 33m · 68% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip8h 40mSMF 12:18 to MCO 23:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.