tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 12:18 SMF → 20:02 ATL
    DL 904 · Delta · 4h 44m · 91% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 38m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 ATL → 00:17 MSP +1 day
    DL 1310 · Delta · 2h 37m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 113 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 38m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip9h 59mSMF 12:18 to MSP 00:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.