tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 66%

  1. 12:18 SMF → 20:02 ATL
    DL 904 · Delta · 4h 44m · 91% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 38m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 ATL → 00:57 EWR +1 day
    DL 2552 · Delta · 2h 18m · 70% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 113 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 38m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip9h 40mSMF 12:18 to EWR 00:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.