tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Nashville via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 12:18 SMF → 20:02 ATL
    DL 904 · Delta · 4h 44m · 91% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 28m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 ATL → 21:44 BNA
    DL 3002 · Delta · 1h 14m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 28m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 26mSMF 12:18 to BNA 21:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.