tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 05:45 PHX → 12:27 ATL
    DL 918 · Delta · 3h 42m · 96% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 18m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:45 ATL → 16:41 XNA
    DL 5128 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 56m · 77% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 153 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 18m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 56mPHX 05:45 to XNA 16:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.