tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Raleigh/Durham via Atlanta: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:45 PHX → 12:27 ATL
    DL 918 · Delta · 3h 42m · 96% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:45 ATL → 16:14 RDU
    DL 1550 · Delta · 1h 29m · 85% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 29mPHX 05:45 to RDU 16:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.