tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 74%

  1. 05:45 PHX → 12:27 ATL
    DL 918 · Delta · 3h 42m · 96% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:59 ATL → 16:47 IAD
    DL 1695 · Delta · 1h 48m · 78% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 02mPHX 05:45 to IAD 16:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.