tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Hebron via Atlanta: arrives on time 76%

  1. 05:45 PHX → 12:27 ATL
    DL 918 · Delta · 3h 42m · 96% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:49 ATL → 15:13 CVG
    DL 3169 · Delta · 1h 24m · 80% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 28mPHX 05:45 to CVG 15:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.