tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 75%

  1. 14:10 ANC → 18:47 SEA
    DL 922 · Delta · 3h 37m · 89% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 48m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 SEA → 23:36 PHX
    DL 2447 · Delta · 3h 01m · 81% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 63 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 48m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 26mANC 14:10 to PHX 23:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.