tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Detroit via Atlanta: arrives on time 41%

  1. 17:07 MSY → 19:45 ATL
    DL 924 · Delta · 1h 38m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:51 ATL → 22:54 DTW
    DL 1232 · Delta · 2h 03m · 68% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 47mMSY 17:07 to DTW 22:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.