tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 38%

  1. 17:07 MSY → 19:45 ATL
    DL 924 · Delta · 1h 38m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 ATL → 22:30 TPA
    DL 1591 · Delta · 1h 31m · 62% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 23mMSY 17:07 to TPA 22:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.