tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Houston via Atlanta: arrives on time 36%

  1. 17:07 MSY → 19:45 ATL
    DL 924 · Delta · 1h 38m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 ATL → 21:43 HOU
    DL 2051 · Delta · 2h 08m · 73% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip4h 36mMSY 17:07 to HOU 21:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.