tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → San Francisco via Atlanta: arrives on time 35%

  1. 17:07 MSY → 19:45 ATL
    DL 924 · Delta · 1h 38m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:42 ATL → 22:49 SFO
    DL 545 · Delta · 5h 07m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 42mMSY 17:07 to SFO 22:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.