tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Miami via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 10:16 DCA → 12:08 ATL
    DL 926 · Delta · 1h 52m · 87% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:54 ATL → 14:55 MIA
    DL 1579 · Delta · 2h 01m · 76% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 39mDCA 10:16 to MIA 14:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.