tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 87%

  1. 23:59 PHX → 06:39 ATL
    DL 929 · Delta · 3h 40m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 59m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:38 ATL → 10:08 TPA +1 day
    DL 1227 · Delta · 1h 31m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 74 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 59m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip7h 10mPHX 23:59 to TPA 10:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.