tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Detroit via Atlanta: arrives on time 85%

  1. 23:59 PHX → 06:39 ATL
    DL 929 · Delta · 3h 40m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 39m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:18 ATL → 11:10 DTW +1 day
    DL 1298 · Delta · 1h 54m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 39m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 13mPHX 23:59 to DTW 11:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.