tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 76%

  1. 23:59 PHX → 06:39 ATL
    DL 929 · Delta · 3h 40m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:43 ATL → 09:26 IAD +1 day
    DL 1324 · Delta · 1h 45m · 90% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 29mPHX 23:59 to IAD 09:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.