tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Houston via Atlanta: arrives on time 83%

  1. 23:59 PHX → 06:39 ATL
    DL 929 · Delta · 3h 40m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 41m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:20 ATL → 09:28 HOU +1 day
    DL 1509 · Delta · 2h 04m · 90% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 56 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 41m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 25mPHX 23:59 to HOU 09:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.