tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 23:59 PHX → 06:39 ATL
    DL 929 · Delta · 3h 40m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:35 ATL → 08:54 SDF +1 day
    DL 1523 · Delta · 1h 19m · 94% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip5h 55mPHX 23:59 to SDF 08:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.