tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 79%

  1. 23:59 PHX → 06:39 ATL
    DL 929 · Delta · 3h 40m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:20 ATL → 11:08 DCA +1 day
    DL 380 · Delta · 1h 47m · 82% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 08mPHX 23:59 to DCA 11:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.