tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Phoenix via Minneapolis: arrives on time 66%

  1. 12:05 SEA → 17:37 MSP
    DL 941 · Delta · 3h 31m · 88% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:48 MSP → 20:10 PHX
    DL 2297 · Delta · 3h 22m · 73% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 05mSEA 12:05 to PHX 20:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.