tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Omaha via Minneapolis: arrives on time 49%

  1. 12:05 SEA → 17:37 MSP
    DL 941 · Delta · 3h 31m · 88% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:25 MSP → 19:48 OMA
    DL 4024 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 71% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 43mSEA 12:05 to OMA 19:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.