tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Tampa via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:05 SEA → 11:24 MSP
    DL 943 · Delta · 3h 19m · 96% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:19 MSP → 17:32 TPA
    DL 2264 · Delta · 3h 13m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 27mSEA 06:05 to TPA 17:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.