tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → San Diego via Seattle: arrives on time 53%

  1. 16:46 DTW → 18:45 SEA
    DL 944 · Delta · 4h 59m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 SEA → 22:38 SAN
    DL 2672 · Delta · 2h 53m · 75% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 52mDTW 16:46 to SAN 22:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.