tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Pittsburgh via Detroit: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:00 PHX → 12:48 DTW
    DL 947 · Delta · 3h 48m · 91% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:25 DTW → 15:40 PIT
    DL 4640 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 15m · 72% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 40mPHX 06:00 to PIT 15:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.