tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Baltimore via Detroit: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 PHX → 12:48 DTW
    DL 947 · Delta · 3h 48m · 91% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:09 DTW → 16:45 BWI
    DL 2480 · Delta · 1h 36m · 81% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 45mPHX 06:00 to BWI 16:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.