tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Jacksonville via Detroit: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:00 PHX → 12:48 DTW
    DL 947 · Delta · 3h 48m · 91% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:03 DTW → 17:27 JAX
    DL 2994 · Delta · 2h 24m · 80% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 27mPHX 06:00 to JAX 17:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.