tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Oklahoma City via Atlanta: arrives on time 57%

  1. 19:35 DCA → 21:35 ATL
    DL 950 · Delta · 2h 00m · 70% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:43 ATL → 23:55 OKC
    DL 2423 · Delta · 2h 12m · 81% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oklahoma City is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 20mDCA 19:35 to OKC 23:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.