tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 59%

  1. 14:05 SNA → 17:00 SEA
    DL 952 · Delta · 2h 55m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:05 SEA → 23:30 MSP
    DL 949 · Delta · 3h 25m · 83% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 25mSNA 14:05 to MSP 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.