tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → San Jose via Seattle: arrives on time 46%

  1. 14:05 SNA → 17:00 SEA
    DL 952 · Delta · 2h 55m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 SEA → 20:12 SJC
    DL 4100 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 22m · 87% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 07mSNA 14:05 to SJC 20:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.